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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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rasmussen believes this result is significant. it shows governor tropical any 2 points up in florida and it was exactly the reverse before the debecause it. so it wasn't just tied. it was that obama was up by 2 in florida. so it's a 4-points swing in romney's favor. florida, romney can't win without florida. >> those are the two. mitt romney has to win back all the traditionally red states, then he has to win the two that are always battlegrounds. florida's electoral vote count is just as big as new york's. its population continues to grow. megyn: half of the new york population ends up moving to florida. >> reporter: but the idea is you can't win without these two states. so the idea of pulling out of ohio is the same as cedinged the election. we have long expected that romney would do pretty well in florida and that he was under performing in the polls. what people needed was an excuse to vote for him, a reason to feel good about voting for mitt romney. they have serious reservations about the incumbents and what he has done. th
rasmussen believes this result is significant. it shows governor tropical any 2 points up in florida and it was exactly the reverse before the debecause it. so it wasn't just tied. it was that obama was up by 2 in florida. so it's a 4-points swing in romney's favor. florida, romney can't win without florida. >> those are the two. mitt romney has to win back all the traditionally red states, then he has to win the two that are always battlegrounds. florida's electoral vote count is just as...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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what rasmussen was saying last week. give me sunday morning or monday because you need three days of rolling averages to really reflect something that is accurate. but, tony, what gallup is putting out today, they put a post-debate performance question, and they had never seen in their history before seen such a jump or such a one-sided victory going back to 1992, 20 years ago. >> absolutely, bill. this was a game ink thatting moment without a doubt. even the focus groups taken that night were giving results that commentators were saying, we've done focus groups since the beginning of election. never has there been confirmed affirmative support of one candidate as a result of one performance. this is exactly why right now you see the president of and his campaign starting to grasp for straws. they're getting to the point they're getting a little desperate. trying to create this impression mitt romney lied his way through the debate. only one party says one thing or another that might not be totally factually true. you ha
what rasmussen was saying last week. give me sunday morning or monday because you need three days of rolling averages to really reflect something that is accurate. but, tony, what gallup is putting out today, they put a post-debate performance question, and they had never seen in their history before seen such a jump or such a one-sided victory going back to 1992, 20 years ago. >> absolutely, bill. this was a game ink thatting moment without a doubt. even the focus groups taken that night...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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a rasmussen poll has governor romney up a couple of points after the debate. trying to do two things in the sunshine state, continue the momentum, that he began to build on, wednesday night and to show people as well, that he is not the scary guy the obama campaign made him out to be and stopped off at a cuban restaurant in tampa, and, shook hands and got takeout and folks seemed to appreciate it. and, at a campaign event in st. petersburg he looked back on debate night, a debate night many people saw as a big flop for president obama. >> did you hear what he had to say? i didn't either... i kept looking for a specific plan as to what he was going to do to create jobs and heard more of the same, stimulus, hiring more government workers, raising taxes, those things don't create jobs, they cost jobs. >> reporter: and the governor again repeating the findings of a study by the national federation of independent business which found over the long term, president obama's overall tax policies, when it comes to obamacare and his increase in taxes on the wealthiest of
a rasmussen poll has governor romney up a couple of points after the debate. trying to do two things in the sunshine state, continue the momentum, that he began to build on, wednesday night and to show people as well, that he is not the scary guy the obama campaign made him out to be and stopped off at a cuban restaurant in tampa, and, shook hands and got takeout and folks seemed to appreciate it. and, at a campaign event in st. petersburg he looked back on debate night, a debate night many...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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but a new rasmussen poll of likely voters shows cain pull ago way with 52%. rasmussen has now moved the virginia senate race from toss- up to leaning democratic. >>> president obama spent the night in california at a fundraising concert in los angeles with a roster full of hollywood stars including actor george clooney, katie perry, stevie wonder, just to name a few. mitt romney is back in the battleground state of virginia today to deliver a speech on foreign policy at the virginia military institute in lexington. >>> two big tech firms in china are getting the cold shoulder from u.s. lawmakers. the house intelligence committee today releases a report warning american companies they should not do business with two chinese firms. the house panel says the firms pose a threat to national security based on recent cyberattacks traced to china. a maryland congressman spoke out last night on 60 minutes. >> we have evidence that china has been taxing us on a regular basis, even now as we speak that china has been taking a lot of our trade secrets, our papt ents from
but a new rasmussen poll of likely voters shows cain pull ago way with 52%. rasmussen has now moved the virginia senate race from toss- up to leaning democratic. >>> president obama spent the night in california at a fundraising concert in los angeles with a roster full of hollywood stars including actor george clooney, katie perry, stevie wonder, just to name a few. mitt romney is back in the battleground state of virginia today to deliver a speech on foreign policy at the virginia...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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a new rasmussen poll has the governor two points ahead. here at this event he was looking to the next presidential debate a week from tuesday. he says he has questions on the president from taxes to debt and spending. >> he wants another stimulus? how did the first one work out? he wants to hire more government workers? he wants to pick with winners and losers solyndra, losers in his case. we know where that leads. we have seen the last four years. we don't want four more years like the last four years. >> reporter: the debate at the university on long island is going to include foreign policy. to that end the governor is rolling out the foreign policy ball. he has a big speech on foreign policy at virginia military institute in lexington. >> gregg: tell us how big the first debate is playing out in the campaign ads. >> reporter: both sides are trying to portray the other as the bigger fiber. he has new ad from both campaigns and both are saying the other is untruthful from taxes to anything under the sun. take a look. >> i don't have five
a new rasmussen poll has the governor two points ahead. here at this event he was looking to the next presidential debate a week from tuesday. he says he has questions on the president from taxes to debt and spending. >> he wants another stimulus? how did the first one work out? he wants to hire more government workers? he wants to pick with winners and losers solyndra, losers in his case. we know where that leads. we have seen the last four years. we don't want four more years like the...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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after the debate we had a poll out this was from the rasmussen report. they have barack obama 50% and mitt romney 49% and this is among likely ohio voters. seems to be a tightening in voters in ohio and everybody knows that is a crucial state. >> that is the whole kit and kaboodle. the path would be difficult if he does not win, ohio. rasmussen is a little bit of outliar here. more like 45. >> 49.36. >> so three. what you are seeing here is rasmussen is a little bit ahead of the curve. if he is in fact on his daily polling picking up something that is really good news for mitt romney. >> shannon: ed, what do you think, should the romney camp take it with a bit of cautious optimism? >> they shouldn't at all. execute their game plan. debated a tremendous bebait the other night. mitt romney made himself what he needed to be which was a viable alternative who put forth ideas o of how to get the economy moving again. the destates will will close up. i predict by the next debate this will be a dead even rate, dead even in the national polls and in the states c
after the debate we had a poll out this was from the rasmussen report. they have barack obama 50% and mitt romney 49% and this is among likely ohio voters. seems to be a tightening in voters in ohio and everybody knows that is a crucial state. >> that is the whole kit and kaboodle. the path would be difficult if he does not win, ohio. rasmussen is a little bit of outliar here. more like 45. >> 49.36. >> so three. what you are seeing here is rasmussen is a little bit ahead of...
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Oct 1, 2012
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>> it's interesting the head of nato in brussels today rasmussen essentially hinted as much with an interview with the guardian newspaper. general john allen the top u.s. commander in afghanistan expressed his frustration. >> i am mad as hell about it to be honest with you. we're going to get after this. it reverberates everywhere across the united states. we're willing to sacrifice a lot for this campaign. but we're not willing to be murdered for it. >> allen is the first top level general to, excuse me, rasmussen is the top person to, at this point in nato to suggest any sort of change in the withdrawal deadline general allen from used at the inability to stop these kind of insider attacks, shepard. >> shepard: jennifer griffin at the pentagon. thanks so much. meantime journalists in afghanistan are celebrating a small victory for freedom of the press. the afghan government has agreed to drop some of its proposed new restrictions on reporters there among the changes, getting rid of a special court for accusations of media violations. still the government rejected more than a dozen changes t
>> it's interesting the head of nato in brussels today rasmussen essentially hinted as much with an interview with the guardian newspaper. general john allen the top u.s. commander in afghanistan expressed his frustration. >> i am mad as hell about it to be honest with you. we're going to get after this. it reverberates everywhere across the united states. we're willing to sacrifice a lot for this campaign. but we're not willing to be murdered for it. >> allen is the first top...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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the latest rasmussen poll shows governor romney leading the president by two points. 49% to 47. larry sabato, author of pendulum swing joins us from charlottesville. good evening, larry. >> good evening, judge. >> good to have you with us tonight. so we had a change there is no question that romney won the debate. the numbers are moving in romney's direction. the money is moving in his direction. what will happen at the town hall? >> well, governor romney has to continue to score big. remember bounces fade. he is getting a bounce. how could he not? 67 million people watched that debate. and show saw the tremendous gap that existed between the two candidates on the stage. as jon stewart said there is no red america, there is no it blue america, this is just an america that agrees that president obama bombed at the debate. and look, judge, to put it into context, four years ago when mccain and obama debated, 5 million tuned in. this was a much larger audience. but romney has to continue the momentum. he has to score big at the two remaining debates to continue the momentum. >> jud
the latest rasmussen poll shows governor romney leading the president by two points. 49% to 47. larry sabato, author of pendulum swing joins us from charlottesville. good evening, larry. >> good evening, judge. >> good to have you with us tonight. so we had a change there is no question that romney won the debate. the numbers are moving in romney's direction. the money is moving in his direction. what will happen at the town hall? >> well, governor romney has to continue to...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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rasmussen shows how many people are for the president and how many for mr. mitt romney . rasmussen poll was accurate in 2004 and 8 getting the results according to the track being poll. 43 percent said they are certain to vote for romney and 42 percent certain vote for obama and 15 percent haven't decided . >> gretchen: that's huge. that is a dead heat report to look at the certainty of these people they are voting early right and these people who know in the debates who they will vote for. these debates are for the undecided it is a huge chunk of the population. other than voters turn out of the base. that will turn the election>> eric: that is 10-20 percent of the undisguisable and persuadable. throw that poll up one more second. in the bottom of that. likely voters. those are the polls that are most accurate and go after the likely voters . not just people who poll random people. >> steve: you and i talked about george washington university. they do a battle ground poll . barak 49 percent x. romney 47. and now he leads by 4 in the independents which is a better number
rasmussen shows how many people are for the president and how many for mr. mitt romney . rasmussen poll was accurate in 2004 and 8 getting the results according to the track being poll. 43 percent said they are certain to vote for romney and 42 percent certain vote for obama and 15 percent haven't decided . >> gretchen: that's huge. that is a dead heat report to look at the certainty of these people they are voting early right and these people who know in the debates who they will vote...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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. >> i haven't seen it specifically -- i saw something on twitter a headline that even rasmussen has obama up three. so now they've got -- >> stephanie: the fox news poll. as well. >> they're in on the conspiracy. >> the "wall street journal" poll. you have to have rupert purr dock's -- murdoch's fox, rupert murdoch, rasmussen in on the conspiracy. it is a wildfire! >> stephanie: we're like wow. so mitt romney is running a really good campaign? [ scooby-doo's "huh?" ] >> so now fox news's strategy is to diminish the people who vote for president obama. calling them stupid. stupidest people on earth. >> stephanie: let's hear some of that. let's dive into the right-wing world. sean hannity reaching back for his reagan binky. >> you and i know this, the president walked into a mess, right? let's stop and think about it. so did ronald reagan. >> ronald reagan, 8% growth. >> we're not debating ronald reagan. we're debating obama. >> reagan had a far worse economy than obama inherited. he said he was inheriting it and he said -- but he hasn't fixed it. >> wow. >> stephanie: wow. really rea
. >> i haven't seen it specifically -- i saw something on twitter a headline that even rasmussen has obama up three. so now they've got -- >> stephanie: the fox news poll. as well. >> they're in on the conspiracy. >> the "wall street journal" poll. you have to have rupert purr dock's -- murdoch's fox, rupert murdoch, rasmussen in on the conspiracy. it is a wildfire! >> stephanie: we're like wow. so mitt romney is running a really good campaign? [...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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and this is the nbc poll, but then you've got rasmussen and gallup. but it's all you've got. >> obviously we spend a lot more money polling than scott rasmussen does. >> he was right, though, the last couple of elections. >> not right at the end. >> yeah. >> it's what happens in the middle sometimes it seems a little bit haywire. all my point is on this is i -- we have, the two people we have conduct nbc "wall street journal," they poll for politicians, and why does that matter? because they're not polled to -- they're polled to get it right. if they're not, they don't get clients. so i'll take -- i'll take that. >> but you have 200 million people and you've got polls under 2,000 people. and i know we have statistical analysis and we talk about margins of error and everything. >> i hear you. i just -- i defend -- i could tell you. we spend a lot of money. and look, you guys use the same pollsters we do. the cnbc poll. you guys know these guys are the gold standard. we spend so much money. it is unfair -- i hate the idea that they are -- >> do you thin
and this is the nbc poll, but then you've got rasmussen and gallup. but it's all you've got. >> obviously we spend a lot more money polling than scott rasmussen does. >> he was right, though, the last couple of elections. >> not right at the end. >> yeah. >> it's what happens in the middle sometimes it seems a little bit haywire. all my point is on this is i -- we have, the two people we have conduct nbc "wall street journal," they poll for politicians,...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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rasmussen has him pretty much tied if you have the margin of error put in. >> that's mind boggling. >> bill: the point is well taken. with the press rooting for the president and with the money that the president has on attack ads for romney still to be close but the problem is in places like ohio and falling behind and ba ba ba ba ba. everybody thinks i'm crazy. down the line. rove, kirsten powers. leslie marshall, the whole bunch. i come out and show a little emotion. you know what? i hope americans know how bad this country, what kind of shape we are in now. i hope they understand that here the economy is awful and overseas they don't know what they are doing over there i just think that that would work with the independents. and everybody says oh no, no, no, no, no. he has to come in and very senatorial. i don't know. i don't know if that's going to cut it tonight. >> listen, i don't think he has ever been a senator. has he? >> senatorial is a word, miller. it's a word --ward of the day. >> he can't bring that video up and he doesn't have to. that video is going to resonate. it's
rasmussen has him pretty much tied if you have the margin of error put in. >> that's mind boggling. >> bill: the point is well taken. with the press rooting for the president and with the money that the president has on attack ads for romney still to be close but the problem is in places like ohio and falling behind and ba ba ba ba ba. everybody thinks i'm crazy. down the line. rove, kirsten powers. leslie marshall, the whole bunch. i come out and show a little emotion. you know...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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a rasmussen poll fromepo the weekend -- is more from the vice-president on the weekends and florida. [video clip] >> they're spending a lot of time telling you what barack obama and joe biden are against and what we have done. the attack everything. the truth of the matter is that nowhere is it more clear what they would do that in medicare. let me start by giving you a few specific examples. to make a examples. number one, they have laid out clearly, they say, that what barack obama and i did was we endangered medicare, that we stole money from medicare and we did this to get obamacare and all this. you see it in ads and everything they say. nothing could be further from the truth. everyone of you in this room who is on medicare or has a mother or father on medicare knows that since barack obama acted, your parents and those of you on medicare have more benefits than before. host: back to your calls on whether the vice presidential nominees will impact your vote? raymond is a democrat in waco, texas. caller: good morning. i want to make a comment on the medicare issue. i think ameri
a rasmussen poll fromepo the weekend -- is more from the vice-president on the weekends and florida. [video clip] >> they're spending a lot of time telling you what barack obama and joe biden are against and what we have done. the attack everything. the truth of the matter is that nowhere is it more clear what they would do that in medicare. let me start by giving you a few specific examples. to make a examples. number one, they have laid out clearly, they say, that what barack obama and...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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which by the way, rasmussen is showing romney up 2 points nationally. >> what's happening is the polls tighten and the swing states start coming in. we have gone from he wasn't being truthful all the way up to being a liar. if the worst the numbers get the higher the pitch of rhetoric gets. but the president's walk -- building himself a potential trap because of the clip you showed, if i were advising governor romney for this debate i would trap the president to saying to my face what he and his campaign or saying or not. in this town hall debate, these are real people, they don't like this stuff. the president has a problem. if he goes too harsh on the attack they are not going to like it. megyn: i asked that of stirewalt. remember frank luntz that shows the dials. when the ad goes negative the dials go down. >> an insider's point. pat has seen the same thing. the dials can go negative but the vote can go down. i believe the vote goes down in their polling and testing and they the obama campaign believe it's a risk worth taking for one of the reasons pat suggested. the romney campaign
which by the way, rasmussen is showing romney up 2 points nationally. >> what's happening is the polls tighten and the swing states start coming in. we have gone from he wasn't being truthful all the way up to being a liar. if the worst the numbers get the higher the pitch of rhetoric gets. but the president's walk -- building himself a potential trap because of the clip you showed, if i were advising governor romney for this debate i would trap the president to saying to my face what he...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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rasmussen has him up two among likely voters. my theory is split the difference. it is somewhere close, romney has lost ground but not the kind of ground that we are hearing. most importantly the president is 50 percent approval and romney's favorables are going up. >>gregg: it is a national popular election. that brings me to the real clear politics electoral map. you have to win the states that have the big numbers attached. not election were held today, here is what you would have. obama at 265, five shy of what you have to get and romney at 191. i would say the polls and that electoral map is the best thing that could happen to romney. when it was a tie race, his natural instinct to play it safe overrode everything. now this is no doubt that he is behind, not fatally behind as pat and doug said, but he is behind the he has to change course. obviously, wednesday night is the last opportunity to change course. i think he started changing last week, took all of the ads off, put a new ad in, just himself, talking to the american people. >>gregg: let's lay the new
rasmussen has him up two among likely voters. my theory is split the difference. it is somewhere close, romney has lost ground but not the kind of ground that we are hearing. most importantly the president is 50 percent approval and romney's favorables are going up. >>gregg: it is a national popular election. that brings me to the real clear politics electoral map. you have to win the states that have the big numbers attached. not election were held today, here is what you would have....
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Oct 8, 2012
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looking at scott rasmussen tracking poll. this is the first poll based entirely on interviews after the debate. mitt romney had a modest debate bounce. the question is will it be a blip or lasting change. >> gretchen: look at the university of colorado forecasting model. this is interesting. this is the only model that looks at the electoral college and you need those votes to be president. 330, of the 538 map are going to mitt romney. this is the same out fit in august or september or august 22nd prediction they said the same thing. but romney picked up five more points. >> steve: what they do. they look at economics of what is going on nationally and local and state level . they look at wealth and they look at unemployment and all sorts of stuff. they predict mitt romney will win these states. new mexico and that is new since they updated it and, north carolina and win virginia ohio new hampshire colorado, wisconsin and ohio and florida and barack will win michigan and nevada. >> gretchen: i don't think that romney will win
looking at scott rasmussen tracking poll. this is the first poll based entirely on interviews after the debate. mitt romney had a modest debate bounce. the question is will it be a blip or lasting change. >> gretchen: look at the university of colorado forecasting model. this is interesting. this is the only model that looks at the electoral college and you need those votes to be president. 330, of the 538 map are going to mitt romney. this is the same out fit in august or september or...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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. >> i'm eric rasmussen, in for mike today. a very busy day in the bay area and we've got the weather to suit you. let's check in with rosemary. >> good morning to you. it is a fall forecast that will be pleasant to most. we've got a mix of sun and clouds out there. that will remain the case for today. still holding on to some 40s over parts of the north bay. most of us in the 50s at this hour, slightly cooler temperatures expected for your afternoon and in the extended forecast, the possibility of some rain. i'll break this down for you and show you the temperatures expected for today, coming up. >>> and happening right now, expect big crowds and traffic if you're getting ready to head into the city. san francisco is expecting a million visitors this weekend. that's more people than those who actually live in the city. hotels, already booked up because of several events. and there are a ton of them. here's a map of some of the things happening around town. the hardly strictly bluegrass festival at golden gate park. america's c
. >> i'm eric rasmussen, in for mike today. a very busy day in the bay area and we've got the weather to suit you. let's check in with rosemary. >> good morning to you. it is a fall forecast that will be pleasant to most. we've got a mix of sun and clouds out there. that will remain the case for today. still holding on to some 40s over parts of the north bay. most of us in the 50s at this hour, slightly cooler temperatures expected for your afternoon and in the extended forecast,...
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Oct 8, 2012
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it's tied in the rasmussen poll at 48 which featured in the weekend post-debate poll. romney was ahead by two points. there was some impact from the unemployment numbers on friday, you look at the data since the debate it's a 47-47 tie. there's big events coming up. the first debate was the biggest thing since the conventions. now this thursday on the 11th you've got paul ryan and vice president joe biden. this is going to be very important for obama's effort to stave off romney. then on the 16th you got the second obama-romney debate. on the 22nd final obama-romney debate. then the last friday before the election one more jobs number. my own inclination the job numbers aren't quite as "game change"ing for debates as for the reason voters know how they feel about the economy. they don't need a government report. it does get a lot of attention and we got a race that's plainly at this point even though obama still has a slight advantage in the battleground states this race can go either way. >> interesting. then we got the governor, of course, speaking at vmi about forei
it's tied in the rasmussen poll at 48 which featured in the weekend post-debate poll. romney was ahead by two points. there was some impact from the unemployment numbers on friday, you look at the data since the debate it's a 47-47 tie. there's big events coming up. the first debate was the biggest thing since the conventions. now this thursday on the 11th you've got paul ryan and vice president joe biden. this is going to be very important for obama's effort to stave off romney. then on the...